USDINR has shown multi-year long Diametric pattern correction and it looks like a running Bow – Tie Diametric.
Diametric is a very common pattern seen on most of the stocks and index. This pattern has 7 legs which are contracting at the start and expanding later on. This is a Bow -Tie shaped Diametric pattern. On other hand, there is a Diamond shaped Diametric pattern where we have expansion at the start and contraction later on.
Below chart was published in the monthly research “The Financial Waves monthly update” on 9th July 2019
USDINR Weekly chart spot (published on 09th July 2019)
(Following was published in the monthly research on 9th July 2019)
USDINR post forming high near 75 levels by the end of the year 2018, the pair hasn’t seen any momentum towards the same and drifting lower since then. The fall has been slower and in overlapping fashion from the highs of 75 and so it can be wave X. As per advanced concept of Elliott wave if the last rising segment is retraced back slower it generally results into complex correction formation involving x waves. This is the reason why we think the fall in USDINR will be limited and eventually the longer term uptrend should start i.e. INR can continue to deteriorate against USD for years to come but over short term we can see some appreciation.
As shown on weekly chart of USDINR, prices are moving precisely within the blue channel which is working extremely well. The lower trendline support is near 67.50 levels and as long as the level of 72 is protected we can expect this pair to drift lower.
As per Elliot wave perspective, wave G of the Diametric pattern completed near the highs of 75 and the fall is in form of wave X. Till now prices have retraced 38.2% of wave G and further we might expect prices will retrace nearly 50% followed by 61.8% which comes near channel support. So post witnessing some consolidation we can see a move eventually lower towards ……… levels.
Applying Elliott wave combined with various other indicators across all asset classes helps in identifying the key entry and exit levels.
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