Nifty 2025 Wrap-Up: Volatility Tested, Resilience Proven — What’s Next?
Dec 31, 2025
Nifty Monthly chart
As we approach the year-end, it is important to review how the Nifty has performed over the entire course of 2025. Last year, the Nifty closed at approximately 23,644, and over the current year, the index has gone through a phase of significant volatility. During this period, prices witnessed a low near 21,743, while also registering a lifetime high close to 26,325.
When compared with last year’s closing levels, the Nifty has moved close to 10% on the upside so far. With one trading session still remaining on 31st December, price behaviour during this final session will be crucial in determining how the year eventually concludes. Nonetheless, it is evident that a highly volatile year is now nearing its end.
Throughout 2025, markets have been tested by multiple macro and geopolitical events. These include India–Pakistan tensions, ongoing global uncertainties, the Russia–Ukraine war, and concerns related to tariff-related developments. Despite the presence of these headwinds, the market has continued to display remarkable resilience.
In spite of tariffs and repeated global disruptions, the Nifty has consistently climbed the wall of worry and has managed to maintain a positive bias over the entire 12-month period. This behaviour highlights the underlying strength in the market structure.
From a medium- to long-term perspective, the overall undertone continues to remain bullish. Based on this broader structure, 2026 is expected to be a year of momentum, with the potential to drive prices significantly higher in a strong and sustained manner.
Nifty Daily chart with FLD and Time cycle
From a time-cycle standpoint, the FLD (Future Line of Demarcation)—a critical time-based indicator derived from the 55-day time cycle—provides important-looking support and resistance cues. Prices have formed a low near the cycle period itself, which occurred on 11th December, with the low recorded around 25,693.
Post this cycle low, momentum has yet to meaningfully expand, keeping price action subdued. However, as highlighted earlier, the broader expectation remains that 2026 is likely to be a year of momentum rather than volatility.
Strategy View
A decisive break and close above the prior day’s high would act as the first confirmation of a short-term reversal, opening the door for upside momentum to gradually build towards 26200 followed by life time high levels. Until such confirmation emerges, the market is expected to remain range-bound, and it is prudent to continue with a scalping approach, focusing on buying near supports and selling near resistance within the sideways range. On the downside, 25870-25850 is the crucial support zone.
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